Five. That’s how many degrees Fahrenheit warmer the average water temperature in the Gulf of Maine has been running over the past 10 years compared to the 100-year average. Scientists believe this is the most likely explanation for the complete collapse of the sweet, bite-sized Northern shrimp stock, which used to yield 25 million pounds in some years. The shrimp themselves are fairly hardy animals, but the warm water can’t support the tiny zooplankton on which the shrimp feed. The annual state survey hasn’t found a juvenile shrimp in three years. The 2014 Maine shrimping season has been cancelled.
129. In 2013, Australia set the record for the warmest summer, which ends in February there, and the warmest spring, which ends in November. January temperatures were so far above historic averages, the Australian Meteorological Bureau had to add new colors to its official maps, which now top off at 129ºF. That’s purple. The new government of Prime Minister Tony Abbott is making good on its campaign promises to dismantle Australia’s renewable energy and carbon emissions programs.
Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos showed Charlie Rose a prototype delivery copter, and the world went wild over it.
Sure. Unleash tens of thousands of delivery drones into the cities and suburbs of America and let fly a million fingers of curious toddlers! Revel in the biological wonder of mulched doggies and kitty cats who thought they’d take a closer look. Even the military’s GPS systems can’t account for small inaccuracies caused by atmospheric effects, signal reflection and clocking errors. On Elm Street, “small inaccuracies” mean the difference between a safe landing on the lawn and taking out the front window, and Grandma.
Cutting taxes on those whose dreams have already come true does not create good jobs. Growing a healthy economy creates good jobs, and you cannot have a healthy economy in which a vast majority are losing ground or are barely holding on, or are just worrying about next month.
Biologists and naturalists conduct experiments in resource scarcity and competition using yeast, paramecium, flour beetles and other little animals. Behaviors change, relationships change, levels of ferocity change. A series of recently published surveys show that one third or less of Americans trust their fellow citizens in everyday interactions. As social trust deteriorates, so does a willingness to work for a common good. I am hopeful that Americans will handle things better than the flour beetle, but we need to hold it together and keep our perspective.
“It used to be, if you were having a heart attack, you called your doctor and he met you at the hospital,” a respected physician told me recently. “The primary physician determined what was wrong with you and sent you to a specialist to fix it. Today, the primary’s main job is to funnel patients into the system’s network of specialists.”
Some physicians must now make a special effort even to look patients in the face, because they spend so much of the time-limited appointments clicking boxes on a computer screen.
Some of us are understandably baffled. Let’s cut through it. This is what Obamacare says at its core: Insurance companies, you will end some of your most appalling practices and cruelties, the stuff that is banned everywhere else on Earth and should have been banned in America four decades ago. In exchange, millions of customers will be driven to you, some of them subsidized by the government. And it will be very good for you.
That’s the biggest part of it. It isn’t the Second Holocaust that is described to me every single day when I open my email box or tune to the wrong AM radio station. Here are actual phrases included in just today’s emails: “The Dictator-in-Chief,” “Hundreds Of Millions Of People Are Still Going To Lose Their Health Care Plans,” “Obama Assaulting Fabric of Our Nation….”
1. Wow. Low turnout. Who could have seen it coming?
2. Don’t underestimate voters. They are so, so much smarter than they used to be. Generations have grown up being disappointed when the toy in the cereal box didn’t look like it did on television. They see right through all the plastic postcards with the witty catch lines. If you don’t get your head around this, you don’t get your head around why Governor Christie may be the next President.
From the first moment back in February when Tom Suozzi said he’d be running for Nassau County Executive again, the most common question I’ve been asked is this: Why is he doing this? The debt, the taxes, the coliseum, the whatever, we know, we know. A hundred different people could adequately complain about what. But why? Why should Tom Suozzi be the county executive again?
And his campaign never answered that question to the satisfaction of a lot of voters.
Have you ever contributed $5,000 to a political campaign? How about $10,000? Are people and partnerships and committees and businesses who make contributions like that, bless them, representative of the typical resident of this county? Are their priorities the same? Their motivations? Their expectations?
As of 11 days before Election Day, the campaign committees of County Executive Ed Mangano and former County Executive Tom Suozzi had raised $10.718 million during this campaign cycle, and 50.8 percent of it, just over half, was raised in contributions of $5,000 or more. $3.25 million of it came from contributions of $10,000 or more. Those 187 checks of $10K or more averaged $17,407.
Harrison defeated Cleveland, and Mr. Cornell gave Mr. Jennings a wheelbarrow ride around the village of Hempstead, Cornell decked out in bandanas and Jennings covered in flags. They followed a decorated wagon that carried a small orchestra. McKinley beat Bryan, and Dr. Burns paid off his bet by treating Mr. Hay to a wheelbarrow ride up Prospect and Sea Cliff Avenues, and then hosting a supper for scores of invited guests at the Colony Hotel on Glen Cove Avenue. The “freak election bet”—particularly the public, good-natured wheelbarrow ride down the main street—was ingrained in local political culture for generations. “At the end of the wheelbarrow ride,” a November 1920 advertisement suggested to those settling up election bets near Syosset, “stop in and refresh yourself with Reid’s Ice Cream.”
This tradition of prominent citizens and political leaders showing that they were good sports lasted longer in mostly-rural Suffolk County than in Nassau, where Republican domination was more complete and the traffic heavier. A 1932 bet between leaders of the Italian-American Association resulted in a mile-long barrow ride down Hempstead Turnpike in Elmont for the Roosevelt backer, with a band leading the procession, but I imagine it caused some grousing among pedestrians and drivers.
Days before the September primary, a coalition of Rochester media organizations published an opinion poll conducted by Siena College’s Siena Research Institute on that city’s Democratic mayoral primary. The Siena poll had the incumbent mayor leading the challenger, 63 to 27 percent. The challenger won with 58 percent.
The theoretical margin of error in the Rochester poll was plus or minus 4.4 percent, which means that if, say, 50.0 percent give a particular answer to a question, the “real” result is reliably somewhere between 45.6 and 54.4 percent. Almost all published polling is designed to have a “confidence level” of 95 percent, which means that if you conducted the same survey over and over among randomly selected pools of people, one time out of 20 the results will fall outside of the expected margin of error. With piles of polls published every week during the Presidential election, it’s easy to spot these “outlier” poll results. When you have only one or two newspaper polls, like the one recently published by Newsday and Siena on the Nassau County races, you don’t know what you’re getting.
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Michael Miller is a freelance writer, designer and strategic consultant who has worked in state and local government. Email: email@example.com